Business English B1 · Lesson 45← Back to Business English
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Section 1 / 8

Warm-up

Lesson 45

Risk Assessment & Contingency Plans

Business English B1Lesson 458 sections55 exercises
1.1

Risk Assessment & Contingency Plans

Today you will learn to talk about risks, probability and back-up plans. The grammar focus is probability and conditionals — may, might, could, is likely to, is unlikely to, probably — and what we will do if …
1.2

After this lesson you'll be able to...

  • Use key vocabulary for risk and planning
  • Talk about probability with may, might, could, likely and unlikely
  • Describe a risk and its consequences
  • Explain a contingency plan
1.3

Get to know each other (3 minutes)

  • What risks are there in your job?
  • What do you do when your plan does not work?
  • Are you a careful person or a risk-taker?
  • What was the biggest risk you took at work?
1.4

Say it out loud

Talk about a risk. → There is a risk that the supplier might be late, so we will have a back-up supplier.

1.5

Fact worth knowing

Airlines and hospitals use “contingency plans” for almost every possible problem. A pilot, for example, practises dealing with an engine failure hundreds of times in a simulator before the first real flight.
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Section 2 / 8

Vocabulary

2.1

Key vocabulary

2.2

Useful phrases

There is a risk that the supplier might be late.Існує ризик, що постачальник може запізнитися.
It is likely to rain on the day of the event.Ймовірно, у день заходу піде дощ.
It is unlikely that we will lose the client.Малоймовірно, що ми втратимо клієнта.
If the system fails, we will use the back-up.Якщо система вийде з ладу, ми скористаємося резервною копією.
We could lose a lot of money.Ми можемо втратити багато грошей.
What is the impact on the project?Який вплив це матиме на проєкт?
We need a contingency plan.Нам потрібен резервний план.
We should monitor the situation every week.Нам слід щотижня відстежувати ситуацію.
2.3

Try out the new words

Say one sentence with a new word. → …

Say one phrase from the list about your work. → …

2.4

Which word is it?

the possibility of something bad happening
something that can cause trouble
a result of something that happened
a plan for when something goes wrong
a copy or a second option in case the first one fails
the chance that something will happen
the effect of something
to decide how big or serious something is
2.5

Fill in the missing word

A plan for when something goes wrong is a ____ plan.
Anything that can cause trouble is a ____. (danger)
It is ____ that we will lose the client. It is not probable.
We should ____ the problem every week. (watch it)
We need a ____ in case the system fails. (second option)
2.6

Choose the correct word

Which word means: “to make a problem less serious”?
Which word means: “to expect and prepare for something”?
Which word means: “to watch and check something regularly”?
2.7

Translate the phrase

Write each phrase in English.

уникати
вразливий
імовірний
малоймовірний
запобіжний захід
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Section 3 / 8

Grammar

3.1

Probability and "what if"

may / might / couldpossibility: The supplier might be late. The system may fail. We could lose money. They are followed by the base verb.
likely / unlikelyIt is likely to rain. It is unlikely that we will lose the client. Patterns: be likely/unlikely to + verb; it is unlikely that + clause.
probably / possibly / definitelyadverbs of probability: We will probably finish on time. We will definitely need a back-up. They come after will and before the main verb.
First conditional for plansIf the system fails, we will use the back-up. If the supplier is late, we will call another one. If + present simple, will + verb.
There is a risk that …There is a risk that the supplier might be late. After risk that use a clause. Or There is a risk of + noun/-ing: a risk of delay.
3.2

Which sentence is correct?

Choose the correct sentence:
Choose the correct sentence:
Choose the correct sentence:
3.3

Complete with the correct word

The supplier ____ be late. (might/might to)
It is ____ to rain on the day of the event. (likely/probably)
We will ____ need a back-up. (definitely/definite)
If the system ____, we will use the back-up. (fails/will fail)
There is a ____ that the supplier will be late. (risk/risky)
3.4

Rewrite it

Say it with the word in brackets. Several answers are possible.

Say the supplier is possibly late. (might)
Say it is probable that it will rain. (likely)
Say what you will do if the system fails. (if)
3.5

Correcting mistakes

Each sentence has one mistake. Write the correct sentence.

The supplier might to be late.
If the system will fail, we use the back-up.
It is unlikely lose the client.
3.6

Put the words in order

Put the words in the right order and write the full sentence.

might / the / late / be / supplier
fails / if / system / the / will / use / we / back-up / the
unlikely / is / it / we / that / client / lose / will / the
3.7

Say it about your own work

Say one possible problem at work. → … might …

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Section 4 / 8

Reading

4.1

Read: a short risk assessment

Risk assessment — Annual Conference

We are organising a conference for 300 people in July. These are the main risks.

Risk 1: bad weather. The likelihood is medium. The outdoor party might be cancelled. If it rains, we will move the party to the hotel hall.

Risk 2: a speaker may be ill. It is unlikely, but the impact would be high. We have a back-up speaker, and we will confirm every speaker one week before the event.

Risk 3: the internet could fail. It is possible, so we will test the system twice. If the Wi-Fi fails, we will use mobile hotspots.

We will monitor all three risks every week. At the moment, the biggest threat is the weather, but we are well prepared.

4.2

True or false?

The conference is for 300 people.
True.
The likelihood of bad weather is low.
False — it is medium.
They have a back-up speaker.
True.
If it rains, the party will be cancelled.
False — it will move to the hotel hall.
They will monitor the risks every week.
True.
4.3

Answer the questions

How many people will come to the conference?
300.
What will they do if it rains?
Move the party to the hotel hall.
What will they do if the Wi-Fi fails?
Use mobile hotspots.
What is the biggest threat now?
The weather.
4.4

Find the key language

Write the word (or phrase) from the text.

A modal of possibility in the text:
A first conditional plan:
A word for a second option:
4.5

Fill in from the text

The conference is in ____.
The likelihood of bad weather is ____.
A speaker may be ____.
If the Wi-Fi fails, we will use mobile ____.
The biggest threat is the ____.
4.6

Why is this a good text?

This assessment is good because it …
Contingency plans are useful because they …
4.7

Your own opinion

  • Which risk is the most dangerous? Why?
  • What other risks can you think of?
  • Do you think the plan is good enough?
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Section 5 / 8

Practice

5.1

Picture the situation

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Identify → Assess → Mitigate → Monitor. Good planners do not expect problems; they prepare for them.

5.2

Match the phrase to its function

There is a risk that the supplier might be late.
It is unlikely that we will lose the client.
If the system fails, we will use the back-up.
What is the impact on the project?
We should monitor the situation every week.
5.3

Put the words in order

Put the words in the right order and write the full sentence.

might / the / supplier / late / be
fails / if / system / the / we / use / will / the / back-up
unlikely / it / is / that / we / lose / will / the / client
5.4

Fill in the missing phrase

The supplier ____ be late. (might)
It is ____ to rain. (likely)
If the system fails, we ____ use the back-up. (will)
There is a ____ that we will lose money. (risk)
We should ____ the situation every week. (monitor)
5.5

Say it in your own words

Write one sentence. Several answers are possible.

Name one risk for your project.
Say what you will do if there is a problem.
5.6

Translate into English

Write each sentence in English. Several answers are possible.

Існує ризик, що постачальник може запізнитися.
Нам потрібен резервний план.
Малоймовірно, що ми втратимо клієнта.
5.7

A useful tip

When you talk about risk, give two numbers: how likely it is (low, medium, high) and how serious it would be (low, medium, high). A risk that is likely and serious must have a plan first.
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Section 6 / 8

Speaking

6.1

How to use this section

Your tutor plays a project manager or a client. Discuss risks, probability and plans. Use may / might / could / likely / unlikely / probably and If …, we will …

6.2

Naming a risk

SCENARIO 1

Task: tell your manager about a risk.

Starter: "There is a risk that the supplier might be late with the goods."

6.3

Assessing the risk

SCENARIO 2

Task: say how likely it is and how serious.

Starter: "It is quite likely, and the impact would be high, because we could lose a week."

6.4

Explaining the plan

SCENARIO 3

Task: say what you will do if it happens.

Starter: "If the supplier is late, we will call a second supplier, and we will use our back-up stock."

6.5

Talking about a weather risk

SCENARIO 4

Task: discuss an event risk.

Starter: "It is likely to rain on the day. If it does, we will move the party to the hotel hall."

6.6

Talking about a technical risk

SCENARIO 5

Task: discuss a possible system failure.

Starter: "The internet could fail. We will test it twice, and if it fails, we will use mobile hotspots."

6.7

Asking a colleague

SCENARIO 6

Task: ask about the consequences.

Starter: "What is the impact on the project if the speaker is ill? Do we have a back-up?"

6.8

Summarising

SCENARIO 7

Task: summarise your risk assessment.

Starter: "To sum up, there are three main risks. We have a plan for each, and we will monitor them every week."

6.9

Full conversation — no stops

FULL RUN-THROUGH

With your tutor, role-play a risk meeting: name three risks, assess them, explain your contingency plans and agree who will monitor them — entirely in English.

6.10

Let's talk — reflection

  • How do you feel about taking risks?
  • What is the most important safeguard in your job?
  • Is it better to prepare for every risk or to act fast when something happens?
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Section 7 / 8

Cool down

7.1

Now I can...

  • Use key vocabulary for risk and planning
  • Talk about probability with may, might, could, likely and unlikely
  • Describe a risk and its consequences
  • Explain a contingency plan
7.2

Quick self-check

What follows might or may?
The base verb.
How do we say that something is not probable?
It is unlikely that … / unlikely to + verb.
What is a contingency plan?
A plan for when something goes wrong.
7.3

One more thing before you go

Tell your tutor one possible problem and your plan. → I think … might … If it happens, I will …

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Section 8 / 8

Homework

8.1

Words to remember

a riskризик
a threatзагроза
a consequenceнаслідок
a contingency planрезервний план
a back-upрезервна копія / запасний варіант
likelihoodймовірність
an impactвплив, наслідок
to assessоцінювати
8.2

Fill in the missing word

“ризик” in English: ____
“загроза” in English: ____
“наслідок” in English: ____
“резервний план” in English: ____
“резервна копія / запасний варіант” in English: ____
8.3

Choose the correct form

The supplier ____ be late.
It is ____ to rain on the day.
If the system fails, we ____ use the back-up.
8.4

Open the brackets

The supplier ____ (might / be) late.
If the system ____ (fail), we will use the back-up.
It is ____ (unlikely) that we will lose the client.
We ____ (probably / need) a back-up.
8.5

Correct the mistake

Each sentence has one mistake. Write the correct sentence.

The supplier might to be late.
If the system will fail, we use the back-up.
It is likely rain tomorrow.
8.6

Translate the phrase

Write each phrase in English. Several answers are possible.

ризик
резервний план
Нам слід щотижня відстежувати ситуацію.
8.7

Write it yourself

Write a short risk assessment (6–8 sentences) for an event or a project. Name two risks, say how likely they are, and write a contingency plan for each with “If …, we will …”.

8.8

Practise out loud

Say your risk assessment aloud as if you were giving it to your manager.

8.9

Read aloud

Read the text “a short risk assessment” aloud twice before the next lesson.

Tick what you have done
  • 8.7 I did the writing task
  • 8.8 I practised out loud
  • 8.9 I read the text aloud twice

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